Liverpool vs Leeds Prediction and Stats

Liverpool vs Leeds Prediction: Liverpool is expected to win this match as per the bookmakers and stats.

Liverpool vs Leeds Prediction: Liverpool: 2, Leeds: 1

Statistical analysis is based on historic performance. Player performance in the match may not necessarily replicate recent performances.

Leeds United will be playing against Liverpool at Elland Road on Monday night. Leeds will be looking to earn points to move them up from the relegation zone, while Liverpool will be hoping that a win will ignite a late push for a top-four finish, which is becoming increasingly unlikely.

Keeping that in mind, we would like to present you with a statistical analysis to help you make a more informed prediction about the game. So, let’s dive straight in!

Leeds vs Liverpool Prediction: Last 5 Games Analysis

Leeds United have won 2 out of their last 5 matches played at home. Overall in the Premier League this season, Leeds United have won 5 matches, lost 5 games, and tied 5 games at home.

Leeds United

• Leeds United last 5 home games have resulted in a 6-10 aggregate with one clean sheet.
• Average Number of Goals Scored in the last 5 home games: 1.2
• Average Number of Goals conceded in the last 5 home games: 2.0
• Average Number of Goals Scored in the last 5 home games against Top-10 Teams: 1
• Average Number of Goals conceded in the last 5 home games against Top-10 Teams: 3.0

Liverpool has won 1 out of their last 5 games played away from home. Overall in the Premier League this season, Liverpool has won 3 away games, drawn 4 games, and lost 8 games.

Liverpool

• Liverpool is aggregating 3-5 in the last 5 away fixtures with two clean sheets.
• Average Number of Goals Scored in the last 5 away fixtures: 0.6
• Average Number of Goals conceded in the last 5 away games: 1.0
• Average Number of Goals Scored in the last 5 away games against Non-Top-10 Teams: 0
• Average Number of Goals conceded in the last 5 away games against Non-Top-10 Teams: 0.5

Leeds United can take advantage of Liverpool’s poor away form

Leeds vs Liverpool Odds

Betting Odds (US)

• Leeds: +350
• Liverpool: -133

Betting Odds (UK)

• Leeds: 7/2
• Liverpool: 3/4

Betting Odds (EU)

• Leeds: 4.50
• Liverpool: 1.75

Leeds vs Liverpool Goal Prediction

Leed’s Offense vs Liverpool’s Defense

Leed’s offense

• This Premier League season, Leeds United has scored an average of 1.3 goals per match, which is exactly 0.10 goals lower than the league average.
• Leeds United has an average of 1.25 expected goals per match this season.
• Leeds United has had an average of 3.9 shots on target per match this season, and their goal conversion rate is 33%. This means that Leeds scores one goal for every 3.2 shots on target

Liverpool Defense

• Liverpool has conceded an average of 1.12 goals per match this season, which is 0.30 goals lower than the Premier League average.
• Liverpool has an average of 1.42 expected goals conceded per match this season.
• Liverpool concedes an average of 4.03 shots on target per match, and their goal conceding conversion rate is 33%.

Liverpool Offense vs Leeds’ defense

Liverpool’s Offence

• Liverpool has averaged 1.7 goals per match this season, 0.3 goals higher than the Premier league average.
• Liverpool has averaged 1.79 expected goals per match this season.
• Liverpool has averaged 5.9 shots per match but their goal conversion rate is 28%.

Leed’s defense

• Leeds United has conceded an average of 1.80 goals per match this season, which is exactly 0.37 goals higher than the Premier League average.
• Leeds United has an average of 1.77 expected goals conceded this season.
• Leeds United concedes an average of 4.5 shots on target per match, and their opponents have a goal conversion rate of 37%.

Liverpool has a slight advantage with the most probable result being 2-1, followed by 1-1 and 1-0.

Leeds vs Liverpool Prediction: Who is likely to score a goal?

Leeds

• Jack Harrison has played in 26 matches and has had 24 shots, 12 of which were on target, and he has scored 4 goals this season. On average, Harrison completes 28 passes per match, with a pass completion rate of 72%, and he has provided 6 assists.
• Crysencio Summerville has played in 10 matches and has had 15 shots, 9 of which were on target, and he has scored 4 goals this season. On average, Summerville completes 16 passes per match, with a pass completion rate of 79%, and he has provided 2 assists.

Liverpool

• Mohamed Salah has played in 28 matches and has had 74 shots, 37 of which were on target, and he has scored 13 goals this season. On average, Salah completes 26 passes per match, with a pass completion rate of 78%, and he has provided 7 assists.
• Darwin Núñez has played in 17 matches and has had 65 shots, 34 of which were on target, and he has scored 8 goals this season. On average, Núñez completes 14 passes per match, with a pass completion rate of 68%, and he has provided 3 assists.

Leeds vs Liverpool Prediction: Head-to-Head

Matches: 122 | Leeds United: 29 | Draw: 31 | Liverpool: 62

Recent 5 meetings: Liverpool: 3 Draw: 1 | Leeds United: 1

Last Meeting: The match ended in a 2-1 win in a Premier League fixture for Leeds United on 29 Oct 2022.

Key Highlights: Last 5 Meetings

• This fixture has seen 3.8 goals per match in the last 5 fixtures.
• Leeds has scored 1 goal per match in the last five fixtures.
• Liverpool has scored 2.8 goals per match in the last 5 fixtures.

Leeds vs Liverpool Prediction: Predicted Winner

• Home Advantage: Leeds
• Offense Advantage: Liverpool
• Defense Advantage: Liverpool
• Head-to-head: Liverpool
• Overall: Liverpool to win

Liverpool has appeared weak this season, and their performance in their last five away games has not been any better. They have failed to win big and have only achieved one away victory. The team has had difficulty scoring goals, which is unusual for them, as they have only averaged 0.6 goals per match, which is one goal less than their average goals per match.

On the other hand, Leeds United has not been in great form either, with only two home wins in their last five matches. Their offense has been somewhat unsteady and has only managed to score one goal in two matches against top-10 teams.

Regarding our prediction, despite Liverpool’s poor showing, Leeds’ ongoing defensive problems provide Liverpool with a chance to regain some form. However, Liverpool should also be cautious based on their previous result against Leeds.