Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction and Stats

Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction: Liverpool is expected to win this match against Chelsea as per the bookmakers and stats.

Chelsea vs Liverpool Score Prediction: Chelsea: 0, Liverpool: 1

Statistical analysis is based on historic performance. Player performance in the match may not necessarily replicate recent performances.

Get ready, football fans worldwide, as the excitement and action of the English Premier League 2023-24 are just around the corner. This upcoming weekend marks the beginning of another thrilling journey. Chelsea is all set to kick off their season with a home match against Liverpool at Stamford Bridge on Sunday, 13 August. After a disappointing season where everything seemed to go awry for the top football club, the Blues are eager for a better campaign this time. The EPL 2022-23 was forgettable for Chelsea fans, witnessing the tenures of four head coaches, indicating the club’s flawed decisions and strategies. Nevertheless, under the guidance of their new manager, Mauricio Pochettino, the Blues will be aiming for redemption this year.

Liverpool’s fans will also not look back fondly on the last season. The team that found itself in contention for the title over the last few years failed to secure a finish in the top 4. However, there were some positives to take for Klopp’s men from the last campaign. Liverpool made an impressive comeback in the final phase of the league, even though it wasn’t enough to secure a Champions League berth. Nevertheless, the team can use this performance as a source of inspiration to kickstart the new season strongly.

Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction: Last 5 Games Analysis


  • Chelsea has won 3 of the last 5 home matches. 2 games ended in draws. They had a goal aggregate of 13-5.
  • The Blues secured clean sheets in 2 of those 5 games.


  • Liverpool’s record in the last 5 away matches is somewhat similar with 3 wins and 2 draws. They scored 17 goals and conceded 11.
  • Liverpool managed to end 1 match with a clean sheet.

Chelsea vs Liverpool Goal Prediction


  • In the last 5 home fixtures, Chelsea managed to score a total of 13 goals, out of which 7 were scored in the second half. The average time for the first goal in these matches was recorded as the 32nd minute.
  • Chelsea played the last Premier League season with a goal-scoring rate of 1 goal per match. The average in the home fixtures stood at 1.05 per game.
  • xG: Overall: 1.61 | At Home: 1.66


  • Liverpool has also scored more number of goals in the second half of recent matches. 10 out of their 17 goals came in the last 45  minutes of the last 5 away games. with an average time of the 17th minute for the opening goal.
  • The Reds maintained an average of 1.97 goals per match in the last season. In the away games, the average dipped to 1.53 per match.
  • xG: Overall: 1.95 | At Away: 1.77

Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction: Odds

According to the betting markets, Liverpool has a higher chance of winning this fixture.

Betting Odds as per Fctables:

  • Chelsea: 3.05
  • Draw: 3.60
  • Liverpool: 2.40

Also Read: Brentford vs Tottenham Prediction and Stats

Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction: Who is likely to Score?


  • Raheem Sterling is one of the top attackers for the Blues. He scored 6 goals in the previous edition with 3 assists and 7 big chances created. He played with an xG of 6.21 and an average of 1.2 key passes per game. 
  • Mason Mount is a crucial midfielder who maintained a passing accuracy of 80% in the EPL 2022-23. He added 3 goals and 2 assists as well, playing with a key passing average of 1.3 per match. Mount also got a dribbling success of 55%. His xG stood at 2.79.


  • The presence of Mo Salah makes the Liverpool forward panel look like one of the most dangerous panels among all clubs. Salah amassed 19 goals in the previous league along with 12 assists and 15 big chances created. He played with an average of 1.2 shots on target per match. Salah had his xG at 21.68.
  • Roberto Firmino is another key striker for the Reds. He scored 11 goals in the last season, playing with an average of 1.0 shots on target per match. Firmino maintained an xG of 5.47. He also added 4 assists and 4 big chances created to his name.

Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction: Defense Analysis


  • In the past 5 home fixtures, Chelsea’s defense allowed a total of 5 goals, with 3 of those goals being conceded during the second half of the matches.
  • The Blues maintained an average of 1.24 goals conceded per match in the last season. The average came down to 1.00 per match in the home fixtures.
  • Kepa Arrizabalaga did a commendable job for Chelsea in goalkeeping. He saved 3.1 goals per match with a success rate of 73%.
  • The 38-year veteran defender Thiago Silva is the most dependable player for Chelsea. Silva played the last season with an average of 4.0 clearances per match. He won 74% of the ground duels. Ben Chilwell is another impactful defender who maintained an average of 1.0 clearances per match, winning 57% of the duels.


  • In the last 5 away games, Liverpool’s defense conceded a total of 11 goals, with 7 of those goals being scored against them during the second half of the matches.
  • The Reds’ goal-conceding average stood at 1.24 per match in the last season. At away, the average had been 1.58 per game.
  • Goalkeeper Alisson maintained an average of 2.9 saves per match in the EPL 2022-23. He had a success rate of 72%.
  • Some of the leading defenders for Liverpool include players like Trent Alexander-Arnold and Virgil van Dijk. Alexander-Arnold had an average of 1.5 tackles per match in the last season. He also assisted in 9 goals. Dijk played with an average of 4.2 clearances per game. He won 74% of the aerial duels.

Chelsea vs Liverpool H2H Stats

Matches: 194 | Chelsea: 65 | Draw: 45 | Liverpool: 84

Recent 5 Meetings: Chelsea: 0 | Draw: 3 | Liverpool: 2

Last Meeting: The match ended in a goalless draw in a Premier League fixture on 4 April 2023.

H2H Key Insights (Last 5 Meetings)


  • Number of home matches won: 0
  • Scored 0.40 goals per match
  • Failed to score four times


  • Number of away matches won: 2
  • Scored 0.40 goals per match
  • Failed to score four times

Chelsea vs Liverpool Injuries


  • Benoit Badiashile Mukinayi Baya (Out due to Thigh Injury)
  • Armando Broja (Out due to Knee Injury)
  • Chukwunonso Madueke (Out due to Thigh Injury)
  • Wesley Fofana (Out due to Knee Injury)
  • Trevoh Chalobah (Out due to an Unknown Injury)
  • Christopher Nkunku (Our due to Knee Injury)
  • Marcus Bettinelli (Out due to an Unknown Injury)


  • Alexis Mac Allister (Out due to Knee Injury)
  • Thiago Alcantara (Out due to Groin Injury)
  • Stefan Bajcetic Maquieira (Out due to Groin Injury)

Chelsea vs Liverpool Winner Prediction

Accurately predicting the strengths and weaknesses of teams before the tournament begins can be challenging. Both Chelsea and Liverpool are expected to approach the new season with a fresh perspective, aiming to learn from past mistakes. Chelsea will seek a clean slate, while Liverpool will focus on starting their campaign with a strong away victory.

As per the predictions and betting platforms, Liverpool is expected to win this contest. We predict the score line to be 1-0 in the favor of the Reds.



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