Chelsea vs Arsenal Prediction and Odds

Chelsea vs Arsenal Prediction: Arsenal is expected to win this match as per the bookmakers and stats.


Arsenal vs Chelsea Score Prediction: Arsenal: 2, Chelsea: 1

Statistical analysis is based on historic performance. Player performance in the match may not necessarily replicate recent performances.


The stage is set for a highly anticipated clash as Arsenal and Chelsea go head-to-head in a crucial matchup at the Emirates. With Arsenal’s title hopes hanging in the balance and Chelsea looking to salvage some pride from an otherwise forgettable season, both teams will be fighting tooth and nail for a win

Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction: Last 5 Games Analysis

Arsenal has won 4 out of the last 5 home games. Gunners all matches has been against Non-Top 10 sides.

  • Arsenal’s last 5 home games have an aggregate of 18-7 with one clean sheet.
  • Average Number of Goals Scored in the last 5 home games: 3.6
  • Average Number of Goals conceded in the last 5 home games: 1.4
  • Average Number of Goals Scored in the last 5 home games against Non-Top-10 Teams: 3.6
  • Average Number of Goals conceded in the last 5 home games against Top-10 Teams: 1.4

Chelsea has been dismal in its last 5 away games and has won one game but has been awful against Top tier sides failing to win a single game in the 2 matches.

  • Chelsea Chelsea aggregates 4-5 in the last 5 away fixtures with one clean sheet.
  • Average Number of Goals Scored in the last 5 away fixtures: 0.8
  • Average Number of Goals conceded in the last 5 away games: 1.0
  • Average Number of Goals Scored in the last 5 away games against Top-10 Teams: 0

Analysis

Based on the last 5 games’ analysis, Arsenal has the upper hand heading into their clash against Chelsea. The Gunners have been in fine form at home, winning 4 out of their last 5 games, scoring an impressive 3.6 goals per game on average. In contrast, Chelsea has struggled on the road, winning just one of their last 5 away games and conceding an average of 1.0 goals per game

However, based on recent form, Arsenal appears to have the edge. It will be interesting to see if they can capitalize on their home advantage and secure a victory against their London rivals.

Arsenal vs Chelsea Goal Prediction

Arsenal’s Offense vs Chelsea’s Defense

Arsenal’s offense

  • In the current Premier League season, Arsenal has scored an average of 2.81 goals per game when playing at home, slightly less than 1 goal compared to their away games.
  • Arsenal has scored the first goal of the game in 56% of their home matches, with their average goal coming in the 32nd minute.
  • Arsenal has failed to score only once in all of their home games and has scored over 2 goals in 80% of their matches at home.

Chelsea’s Defense

  • On the road, Chelsea has given up an average of 1.27 goals per game, which is 0.33 goals more than their record at home.
  • 47% of their road games, Chelsea has allowed the first goal, with the average goal being conceded in the 71st minute.
  • Chelsea has kept a clean sheet in 27% of their away games, but they have given up 2 or more goals in 33% of their games on the road.

Chelsea’s Offense vs Arsenal’s defense

Chelsea’s offense

  • On the road, Chelsea has averaged 0.87 goals per game, which is 0.13 goals less than their home games.
  • In 41% of their away games, Chelsea has failed to score, but they have scored at least 1 goal in 59% of their matches.
  • In 53% of the games, Chelsea scored the first goal, but their goal-scoring was inconsistent, with an average goal coming every 103 minutes.

Arsenal’s defense

  • As a result, Arsenal concedes 1.31 goals per match at home, a .31 goal higher than the 1.31 goals conceded away.
  • Arsenal has allowed the first goal in 44% of its home games with an average goal conceded in the 69th Minute.
  • Arsenal has kept a clean sheet in only 19% of the games.

Analysis and Goal Prediction

Arsenal has a strong home record, scoring an average of 2.81 goals per game and frequently scoring the first goal. However, their defense is not as strong, conceding an average of 1.31 goals per game at home. Chelsea has a solid defense on the road, conceding only 1.27 goals per game, but they struggle to score, averaging only 0.87 goals per game away from home. Both teams have areas to improve in consistency, with Chelsea struggling to score goals consistently and Arsenal needing to improve their defensive play.

  • Arsenal Likely to Score First Goal
  • Chelsea is also Likely to score
  • Chelsea has conceded 2 or more goals in 33% of the games while Arsenal has scored 2 or more goals in 80% (Will favor Arsenal)
  • Chelsea has scored 2 goals in only 18% of the games. (Less Probability to score 2 goals)

Goal Prediction: Arsenal: 2, Chelsea: 1, Arsenal: 2, Chelsea: 0, Arsenal: 1 Chelsea: 1

These three Results are more likely based on Statistical Analysis

Arsenal vs Chelsea Odds

Betting Odds (US)

  • Arsenal: -149
  • Chelsea: +375

Betting Odds (UK)

  • Arsenal: 4/6
  • Chelsea: 4/1

Chelsea vs Arsenal Prediction: Who is likely to score a goal?

Arsenal

  • Gabriel Martinelli has played in 33 games, taking a total of 50 shots and getting 29 of them on target, resulting in 15 goals. On average, he completes 30 passes per game with a pass completion rate of 83%. He has also provided 5 assists.
  • Bukayo Saka has played in 33 games and has had 25 shots on goal out of a total of 49 shots, resulting in 13 goals. On average, he completes 34 passes per game with a pass completion rate of 81%. Additionally, he has provided 11 assists throughout the season.

Chelsea

  • Kai Havertz has played in 29 matches, with 28 shots on target out of a total of 54 shots, resulting in 7 goals. On average, he makes 26 passes per match with a pass completion rate of 82% and has 1 assist.
  • Mason Mount has played in 24 matches and has had 9 shots on target out of a total of 20 shots, resulting in 3 goals scored. On average, Mason Mount completes 30 passes per match with a pass completion rate of 81%, and has 2 assists.

Chelsea vs Arsenal Prediction: Head-to-Head

Matches: 206 | Chelsea: 66 | Draw: 58| Arsenal: 82

Recent 5 meetings: Chelsea: 1| Arsenal: 4

Last Meeting: The Match ended in 0-1 win for Arsenal on the Road on 6 November 2022

Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction: Predicted Winner

  • Home Advantage:
  • Arsenal Offense Advantage:
  • Arsenal Defense Advantage: Chelsea
  • Head-to-head: Arsenal
  • Overall: Arsenal to win

it seems that Arsenal has a significant edge in both their home field and offensive capabilities. Their impressive home record of scoring an average of 2.81 goals per game and their ability to score the first goal in 56% of their home matches indicate a strong advantage when playing on their own turf. Moreover, their ability to score over two goals in 80% of their home matches is quite impressive. On the other hand, Chelsea’s lack of scoring prowess with a failure rate of 41% in games indicates that their defense will be under immense pressure from Arsenal’s offense. While Chelsea may score a goal, it is unlikely to be enough to secure a win against the dominant Arsenal side.

Overall, based on the statistics presented, it’s reasonable to predict that Arsenal may have a slight edge in this matchup

Subhash

Subhash

Subhash, Founder of Crowdwisdom360 is an MBA and a Trained Financial Advisor with an extensive background in Forecasting in Financial Services and Politics. He has appeared many times on National TV and has written for a variety of magazines on Wealth Management and Election Strategy.
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