Mavericks vs Warriors Prediction and Odds

Mavericks vs Warriors Prediction and Odds: The Golden State Warriors are favored by the bookmarkers but it is expected to be a close contest.

The Dallas Mavericks (28-25) are set to lock horns with the Golden State Warriors (26-26) in the upcoming NBA matchup tonight. It has been a decent campaign by the Mavericks till now. They are currently in the 4th position of the Western Conference. Dallas secured its second consecutive win by defeating the New Orleans Pelicans in the last game with a score of 111-106.

The Golden State Warriors have failed to play as per their standards in the current season. They are struggling to get into the top 6 of the Western Conference. The Warriors are currently in the 9th spot. In the last fixture, Golden State faced a 117-134 loss to the Denver Nuggets.

Injury Update

Mavericks vs Warriors Prediction: Last 5 Games Stats

The Dallas Mavericks have won 2 of the last 5 away fixtures.

The Mavericks won against the Phoenix Suns and LA Lakers. The defeats came against the likes of the Utah Jazz and Portland Trail Blazers (2 games). Dallas has won 9 out of 25 away games as of now.

In the last 5 away games

• The Dallas Mavericks have scored 112.0 points per game.
• The Dallas Mavericks have conceded 118.8 points per game.
• Number of games that ended with a difference of 3 points or less: 3
• Number of games that ended with a difference of 4-10 points: 0

The Golden State Warriors have won 2 of the last 5 home fixtures.

The wins came against the Toronto Raptors and Memphis Grizzlies. They lost to teams like the Brooklyn Nets, Phoenix Suns, and Orlando Magic. The Warriors have been good at home, winning 19 out of 25 games.

In the last 5 home games

• The Golden State Warriors have scored 116.2 points per game.
• The Golden State Warriors have conceded 119.4 points per game.
• Number of games that ended with a difference of 3 points or less: 1
• Number of games that ended with a difference of 4-10 points: 1

The winning momentum is on the side of the Dallas Mavericks. But the Golden State Warriors will have the home advantage.

Mavericks vs Warriors Prediction: Attack and Defense Analysis

Attack

The Dallas Mavericks are playing with a scoring rate of 112.3 points per game. In shooting, their success rate stands at 47.0% in field goals, 36.1% in 3-pointers, and 74.3% in free throws. The Mavericks are the 9th-best side in the defense with an Adjusted Offensive Rating of 115.5.

The Golden State Warriors have maintained an average of 118.0 points per game. They shot 47.4% from the field and 38.1% from the 3-point line. The free throw accuracy is currently at 79.1%. With an Adjusted Offensive Rating of 113.5, the Warriors rank 17 in the offense.

The Dallas Mavericks have the upper hand in the offense.

Defense

The Dallas Mavericks are giving away 111.8 points per game in the current season. They played with an average of 38.5 rebounds per game. The average number of steals and the average number of blocks per game are currently at 6.5 and 3.9 respectively. The Mavericks rank 24 in the defense with an Adjusted Defensive Rating of 115.3.

The Golden State Warriors have been conceding 118.3 points per game. They maintained an average of 44.3 rebounds along with 7.0 blocks and 3.8 blocks per game. The Warriors are given a rank of 14 in the defense with an Adjusted Defensive Rating of 113.7.

The Golden State Warriors are ahead in the defense.

Warriors vs Mavericks Prediction: Odds

Spread

• Golden State Warriors: -5.5 (-105)
• Dallas Mavericks: +5.5 (-105)

Moneyline

• Golden State Warriors: -222
• Dallas Mavericks: +185

Win Probability

• Golden State Warriors: 62%
• Dallas Mavericks: 38%

Read all our NBA coverage here

Mavericks vs Warriors Prediction: Last Game Analysis

Can the Warriors get back to winning ways?

The Golden State Warriors dropped another away fixture with the defeat to the Denver Nuggets in the last game. The defense lacked a solid strategy to counter both Jokic and Murray. The Warriors shot well, especially from the 3-point line with an accuracy of 50.0%. Their free throw accuracy of 63.2% looked too low against 76.2% of the Nuggets. The Warriors also committed 23 turnovers which made things difficult for them. The absence of Klay Thompson turned out to be a big disadvantage for Golden State.

Stephen Curry was the top performer for the Warriors again as he finished with 28 points, 5 rebounds, and 5 assists. Jordan Poole scored 22 points with 5 assists and 3 rebounds.

Are the Mavericks good enough to stun the defending champions at their home?

The Dallas Mavericks are coming off a home win against the New Orleans Pelicans. Another stellar show by Doncic helped the Mavericks dominate the visitors. However, his exit with 6:47 remaining turned the tables as the Pelicans fought back from a deficit of 27 points. They tried hard to close the gap in the closing minutes. In the end, Dallas managed to win the contest by a margin of 5 points. The Mavericks need to improve their 3-pointer success rate which dipped to 25.0% in the last game.

Luka Doncic led the scoring for Dallas with 31 points. He also added 8 rebounds and 4 assists. Spencer Dinwiddie gave a valuable contribution of 21 points with 4 assists and 3 rebounds.

Warriors vs Mavericks Prediction: Head-to-Head Stats

There have been 170 games between these two sides in the NBA. The Dallas Mavericks are leading with 90 wins, while the Golden State Warriors won 80 matchups.

If we check out the last 5 meetings, 4 games were won by the Mavericks and only 1 by the Warriors. The previous clash took place in the current season on 29 November 2022. The Dallas Mavericks won that contest with a score of 116-113.

Head-to-Head: Key Highlights

• Number of home games won by the Golden State Warriors: 1
• Number of away games won by the Dallas Mavericks: 1
• Average Number of Total Points scored: 215.0
• Average Number of Points scored by the Golden State Warriors: 107.8
• Average Number of Points scored by the Dallas Mavericks: 107.2

Warriors vs Mavericks Prediction: Players to Watch Out

Golden State Warriors

Stephen Curry (Point Guard)

Points Per Game: 29.7 | Assists Per Game: 6.4 | Rebounds Per Game: 6.4

Jordan Poole (Shooting Guard)

Points Per Game: 20.8 | Assists Per Game: 4.4 | Rebounds Per Game: 2.8

Andrew Wiggins (Small Forward)

Points Per Game: 17.1 | Rebounds Per Game: 5.0 | Steals Per Game: 1.3

Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic (Point Guard)

Points Per Game: 33.4 | Rebounds Per Game: 8.9 | Assists Per Game: 8.2

Doncic’s participation in the next game is subject to fitness.

Christian Wood (Center)

Points Per Game: 18.4 | Rebounds Per Game: 8.4 | Blocks Per Game: 1.3

Spencer Dinwiddie (Point Guard)

Points Per Game: 17.6 | Assists Per Game: 5.3 | Rebounds Per Game: 3.1

Mavericks vs Warriors Winner Prediction

• Momentum Advantage: Mavericks
• Home Advantage: Warriors
• Offensive Advantage: Mavericks
• Defensive Advantage: Warriors
• Overall: Advantage Warriors by a small margin

Both teams are suffering from some key injury concerns. Doncic suffered a right heel bruise in the last game. The Warriors will hope for the fitness of Thomspon and Green. The Mavericks need to bring out their best to dominate the Warriors in their own backyard. On the other hand, the Warriors can’t lose too many home fixtures after a below-par campaign till now. The Warriors are expected to win this fixture but the Mavericks have the potential to give a tough fight.