Bucks vs Heat Prediction and Odds

Bucks vs Heat Prediction and Odds: The Milwaukee Bucks are favored by the bookmarkers and stats but it is expected to be a close contest.

The Milwaukee Bucks will be hosting the Miami Heat in their upcoming fixture after the break. The Milwaukee Bucks are holding strong, occupying the 2nd position in the Eastern Conference with a record of 41-17. In their last match, they defeated the Chicago Bulls with a score of 112-100.

The Miami Heat are getting back on track they are in 7th position and desperately looking to enter the top 6. They have a record of 32-27. In their last match, they suffered a defeat against the Brooklyn Nets with a score of 116-105.

Heat vs Bucks Prediction: Last 5 Games Stats

The Miami Heat have won 2 of the last 5 away fixtures.

They won against the Orlando Magic and Cleveland Cavaliers. The defeats came against teams like the Brooklyn Nets, NY Knicks, and Milwaukee Bucks. Miami has won 13 out of 30 away games in the current season.

In the last 5 away games

  • The Miami Heat have scored 106.2 points per game.
  • The Miami Heat have conceded 109 points per game.
  • Number of games that ended with a difference of 3 points or less: 2
  • Number of games that ended with a difference of 4-10 points: 2

The Milwaukee Bucks have won all their last 5 home fixtures.

The last 5 wins came against teams like the LA Clippers, Boston Celtics, Miami Heat, Charlotte Hornets and the New Orleans Pelicans. The Bucks have been good in home games, winning 24 out of 29 matchups.

In the last 5 Home games

  • The Milwaukee Bucks have scored 123.8 points per game.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have conceded 114 points per game.
  • Number of games that ended with a difference of 3 points or less: 1
  • Number of games that ended with a difference of 4-10 points: 3

The Bucks have the momentum as well as the home advantage.

Bucks vs Heat Prediction and Odds: Offense and Defense Analysis


The Miami Heat have scored points with a low average of 108.3 per game. In shooting, they attained a success rate of 45.2% in field goals, 33.4% in 3-pointers, and 82.8% in free throws. Miami is the 5th-lowest ranked side in the offense with an Adjusted Offensive Rating of 111.7.

The Milwaukee Bucks are playing with an average of 114.8 points per game. They shot 46.3% from the field and 35.9% from the 3-point line. The success rate in free throws stands at 73.8%. The Bucks are ranked 22 in the offense with an Adjusted Offensive Rating of 113.2.

The Bucks are ahead in offense by a small margin.

HeatRank BucksRank
108.3830Total Score114.8813
45.2129Field Goal%46.3623
33.4028Three Point%35.9016
82.782Free Throw%73.7429
41.3426Total Rebounds49.161


The Miami Heat are conceding 108.2 points per game. They played with an average of 41.4 rebounds, with 8.5 steals and 3.0 blocks per game. With an Adjusted Defensive Rating of 111.7, Miami is the 4th-best side in the defense with an Adjusted Defensive Rating of 111.5.

The Milwaukee Bucks have conceded 111.8 points per game as of now. They played with an average of 49.2 rebounds along with 6.6 steals and 5.0 blocks per game. The Bucks have the 3rd-best defense among all sides with an Adjusted Defensive Rating of 110.4.

The Bucks are slightly ahead in defense as well.

HeatRank BucksRank
108.312Total Score111.817
47.7020Field Goal%45.412
36.6921Three Point%34.634
77.137Free Throw%77.8814
42.199Total Rebounds43.9520

Bucks vs Heat Prediction and Odds

The latest predictions and odds are in the favor of Milwaukee Bucks.


  • Miami Heat: +1 (-119)
  • Milwaukee Bucks: -1 (-119)


  • Miami Heat: -111
  • Milwaukee Bucks: -120

Win Probability

  • Miami Heat: 38%
  • Milwaukee Bucks: 62%

Read: Thunder vs Suns Prediction and Odds

Heat vs Bucks Prediction: Last Game Analysis

Can the Bucks maintain their momentum?

The Milwaukee Bucks are on a roll winning their last 12 matches continuously. In their last home match they defeated the Boston Celtics with a score of 131-125. Jrue Holiday put on an incredible offensive performance, scoring 40 points and dishing out 7 assists. With the help of 13 rebounds and 9 assists, Giannis Antetokoumpo scored 36 points. The Bucks’ winning performance was primarily due to their defensive effort throughout overtime.

Due to injuries, the Celtics were without a few key players, including Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, and Marcus Smart, an All-Star. Malcolm Brogdon scored 26 points for the Celtics.

Can the Heat win one on road?

The Heat went head-to-head with the Brooklyn Nets in their last game on road. The Nets were able to defeat the heat with a score of 116-105. The game went neck to neck till the last quarter but the  Nets were able to grasp the win in the end, thanks to the offensive effort by Mikal Bridges who scored 45 points. Cam Thomas scored 19 while Johnson added 18.

The heats were going great in the start but they lost the steam in the end. Bam Adebayo scored 24 points with 13 rebounds and 6 assists. Max Strus scored 18 points. The collective team effort was good but they lacked defensively which led to their loss.

Heat vs Bucks Prediction: Head-to-Head Stats

Both these teams have met 125 times in the regular season of the NBA. The Miami Heat are leading with 75 wins, while the Milwaukee Bucks won 50 games.

If we check out the last 5 meetings, 3 matchups were won by the Heat and 2 by the Bucks. The previous clash took place in the current season on 4 February 2023. The Milwaukee Bucks won that thrilling contest with a score of 123-115.

Head-to-Head: Key Highlights (Last 5 Meetings)

  • The Milwaukee Bucks hosted 2 games and won both of them.
  • Average Number of Total Points scored: 210.6
  • Average Number of Points scored by the Milwaukee Bucks: 108.8
  • Average Number of Points scored by the Miami Heat: 113.2

Heat vs Bucks Prediction: Players to Watch Out

Miami Heat

Jimmy Butler (Small Forward)

Points Per Game: 21.7 | Rebounds Per Game: 6.0 | Assists Per Game: 5.1

Bam Adebayo (Center)

Points Per Game: 21.6 | Rebounds Per Game: 10.0 | Steals Per Game: 1.2

Max Strus (Shooting Guard)

Points Per Game: 12.6 | Rebounds Per Game: 3.6 | Assists Per Game: 2.2

Milwaukee Bucks

Giannis Antetokounmpo (Power Forward)

Points Per Game: 31.8 | Rebounds Per Game: 12.2 | Assists Per Game: 5.4

Antetokounmpo’s participation in the next game is subject to fitness.

Jrue Holiday (Forward)

Points Per Game: 19.4 | Assists Per Game: 7.1 | Rebounds Per Game: 5.2

Brook Lopez (Center)

Points Per Game: 14.5 | Rebounds Per Game: 6.5 | Blocks Per Game: 2.4

Heat vs Bucks Winner Prediction

  • Home Advantage: Bucks
  • H2H Advantage: Heat
  • Offensive Advantage: Bucks
  • Defensive Advantage: Bucks
  • Overall: Milwaukee Bucks

The Miami Heat will need an improved performance in the offense to trouble the Bucks in their own backyard. On the other hand, the Milwaukee Bucks will look for a solid home win. They are yet to prove their team strength after the NBA trade. With Tyler Herro, Kyle Lowry and Victor Oledipo expected to return fit after the break, fans can expect a close battle. The odds are giving a slight upper hand to the Bucks in this matchup.



Subhash, Founder of Crowdwisdom360 is an MBA and a Trained Financial Advisor with an extensive background in Forecasting in Financial Services and Politics. He has appeared many times on National TV and has written for a variety of magazines on Wealth Management and Election Strategy.
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