England vs Italy Prediction: Statistical Analysis of Goals, Fouls and Winners
| England vs Italy Prediction When is Italy most likely to score a goal? Italy has dominated in the second half of the Nations League fixtures. 40% of their goals have come in the time frame of 75-90 minutes. When is England most likely to score a goal? England has struggled at goal-scoring in the first leg of the tournament. Their only goal from the first four matches has come in the second half. Who is most likely to score for Italy? Lorenzo Pellegrini has the highest probability to score for the Azzurri in the upcoming game. Who is most likely to score for England? The English team will rely on their captain Harry Kane to score in the next match. CrowdWisdom360 England vs Italy Prediction: Italy 1 England 1 |
It’s time for another round of excitement and craze among the football fans as the second leg of the UEFA Nations League is set to kickstart this month with many mouth-watering contests between the top international teams. Italy is set to host England on Friday, 23 September at the San Siro Stadium in Milan. The Italians will aim for a dominating performance after an average first leg with just 1 win from 4 matches.
It has been a nightmarish start to the Nations League for Gareth Southgate’s men as they are yet to register their first win. England couldn’t win at home when they last met the Azzurri in June and the match ended in a goalless draw. It will be a mighty challenge for them to start the second leg on a positive note.
England vs Italy Prediction: Goals Scored and Conceded
Italy
| Time Frame | Goals Scored | Goals Conceded | |
| First 15 minutes | 0 | 1 | |
| 16 to 30 minutes | 1 | 1 | |
| 31 to 45 minutes | 1 | 2 | |
| 46 to 60 minutes | 0 | 1 | |
| 61 to 75 minutes | 1 | 4 | |
| 76 to 90 minutes | 4 | 1 | |
| First Half | 2 | 4 | |
| Second Half | 5 | 6 | |
| Total (Last 5 Matches) | 5 | 10 |
England
| Time Frame | Goals Scored | Goals Conceded | |
| First 15 minutes | 0 | 0 | |
| 16 to 30 minutes | 1 | 1 | |
| 31 to 45 minutes | 1 | 0 | |
| 46 to 60 minutes | 0 | 1 | |
| 61 to 75 minutes | 0 | 2 | |
| 76 to 90 minutes | 2 | 2 | |
| First Half | 2 | 1 | |
| Second Half | 2 | 5 | |
| Total (Last 5 Matches) | 4 | 6 |
England vs Italy Prediction: Forwards Statistics
- Matteo Pessina leads the forward attack for the Azzurri. Pessina had created 1 big chance in the current season of the Nations League. He also got a dribbling success of 54%. Matteo Politano is another key striker who has assisted in 1 goal, created 3 big chances for his side, and played at an average of 2.3 key passes per match.
- England has a strong forward attack led by their captain, Harry Kane. Kane has looked in excellent touch in the EPL as he has already added 5 goals to his name for Tottenham and played at an average of 3.7 shots per game. He also added 1 goal in the UEFA Nations League. Phil Foden has scored 1 goal in the current League, playing at an average of 1.5 shots per match. Ivan Toney has also been called for the second leg as a reward of his performance in the EPL. Toney has added 5 goals and 2 assists as of now, playing for Brentford.
| Goals | Shots On Target Per Game | ||
| Italy | |||
| Matteo Pessina | 0 | 1.0 | |
| Matteo Politano | 0 | 1.0 | |
| Gianluca Scamacca | 0 | 0.3 | |
| England | |||
| Harry Kane | 1 | 1.0 | |
| Phil Foden | 1 | 1.0 | |
| Jarrod Bowen | 0 | 0.5 |
Italy vs England Prediction: Yellow Card Statistics
- Italy
| Yellow Cards | |
| Sandro Tonali | 2 |
| Bryan Cristante | 1 |
| Lorenzo Pellegrini | 1 |
- England:
| Yellow Cards | |
| Kyle Walker | 1 |
| Harry Magure | 1 |
| Jack Grealish | 1 |
England vs Italy Prediction: Midfield Statistics
| Passing Accuracy | Key Passes Per Game | ||
| Italy | |||
| Lorenzo Pellegrini | 75% | 2.0 | |
| Manuel Locatelli | 83% | 0.0 | |
| Bryan Cristante | 83% | 0.3 | |
| England | |||
| James Ward-Prowse | 92% | 1.0 | |
| Jude Bellingham | 89% | 0.3 | |
| Declan Rice | 90% | 0.0 |
Lorenzo Pellegrini is one of the most highly skilled players of Italy. Pellegrini has scored 2 goals in the Nations League till now at a scoring frequency of 110 minutes. Manuel Locatelli is another important midfielder for Italy who has played at an average of 1.5 interceptions per match in the first leg with 89% success in the total duels.
England’s midfield panel comprises some star footballers like James Ward-Prowse and Jude Bellingham. Ward-Prose has been good in the Premier League so far with 1 goal and 1 assist for Southampton along with 67% dribbling success. Bellingham has maintained his interception average at 2 per game in the Nations League with 69% success in the ground duels.
England vs Italy Prediction: Defence Statistics
| Clearances Per Game | Tackles Per Game | |
| Italy | ||
| Federico Gatti | 4.0 | 0.0 |
| Gianluca Mancini | 2.5 | 4.0 |
| Francesco Acerbi | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| England | ||
| Conor Coady | 3.0 | 1.0 |
| Fikayo Tomori | 0.5 | 2.0 |
| John Stones | 1.3 | 1.7 |
Federico Gatti and Gianluca Mancini are some of the leading defenders of the Italian side. Gatti has played at an average of 4 clearances per game in the Nations League as of now, winning 64% of the total duels. Mancini’s tackling average stands at 4 per game. He also won 78% of the aerial duels.
The English defence has players like Conor Coady and Fikayo Tomori. Coady has played the current league at an average of 3 clearances per match with 94% passing accuracy. Tomori has maintained an average of 2 tackles per game with 44% success in the ground duels.
England vs Italy Prediction: Goalkeeper Stats
| Gianluigi Donnarumma (Italy) | Aaron Ramsdale (England) | |
| Saves per Game | 3.5 (78%) | 2.0 (50%) |
| Goals Conceded Per Game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Clean Sheets | 0 | 1 |
Italy’s goalkeeper Gianluigi Donnarumma has been decent in the UEFA Nations League so far as he has played at an average of 3.7 saves per match with a 78% success rate.
Aaron Ramsdale is likely to take charge of the goalkeeping responsibility for England from the start of the second leg. Ramsdale has played 2 league matches so far at an average of 2 saves per match with a 50% success rate.
England vs Italy Prediction: Team Stats (All Competitions)
| Stats | Italy | England |
| Matches | 43 | 41 |
| Goals per game | 2.37 | 2.63 |
| Goals conceding per game | 0.58 | 0.54 |
| Clean Sheets | 24 | 26 |
| Ball Possesion % | 61.22% | 61.00% |
England vs Italy Prediction: Head-to-Head Statistics
Matches: 29 | Italy: 12 | Draw: 9 | England: 8
Recent 5 Meetings: Italy: 2 | Draw: 3 | England: 0
Last Meeting: The game ended in a 0-0 draw in the UEFA Nations League on 11 June 2022.
England vs Italy Prediction: Comparative Analysis
In the last five Home matches, Italy has:
- Scored 0.8 goals per match.
- No Clean sheet.
- Conceded 1.4 goals per match.
- Failed to score twice.
In the last five away matches, England has:
- Scored 4 goals per match.
- Two clean sheet.
- Conceded 0.6 goals per match.
- Failed to score once.
England vs Italy Prediction: Winning Odds
| Italy | England | |
| FcTables | 2.53 | 2.90 |
| SofaScore | 2.50 | 2.80 |
| BettingExpert | 2.60 | 2.90 |
England vs Italy Prediction: Predicted XI
Italy (4-3-3): Donnarumma; Spinazzola, Bastoni, Mancini, Calabria; Barella, Cristante, Frattesi; Gnonto, Raspadori, Politano
England (4-3-3): Ramsdale; Walker, Stones, Guehi, James; Gallagher, Phillips, Bellingham; Bowen, Kane, Saka
England vs Italy Prediction: Final Analysis and Prediction
Italy will surely look to dominate the visitors in front of the home fans and start the second leg with an emphatic win. The Italians have also dominated the English side in the recent past. England, on the other hand, needs to find the right team combination to trouble the Azzurri.
They are yet to avenge the loss in the UEFA Euro Cup Final against Italy last year. As per the predictions and betting platforms, Italy has a higher probability to win this fixture.
