Poland vs Wales Prediction: Statistical Analysis and Betting Inputs

Poland vs Wales Prediction and Betting Odds: The host Polish team is predicted to win the opening match of the UEFA Nations League 2022 against Wales.

Statistical Analysis and Betting Inputs include Goal Scoring patterns of team and individual, Yellow Card Patterns, Shots on Goal versus Goal scored.

When is Poland most likely to score a goal? 7 out of every 9 Goals scored by Poland are between the 45th and 90th minute. Therefore Poland is more likely to score in 2nd half of the match.

When is Wales most likely to score a goal? 5 out of every 9 Goals scored by Wales are in the first half. Therefore, Wales has an advantage in the first half.

Who has the highest probability of being shown a yellow card? Wales players are most likely to be carded.

Who is likely to win the match? Betting Markets are predicting a win for Poland
All statistical analysis is based on historic performance. Player performance in the final may not necessarily replicate the recent performances.

The UEFA Nations League has produced quality football over the last two seasons establishing its own base in less than three years of its inception. In Group 1 of League 4, Poland is all set to face the challenge of Wales in what will be an interesting clash between two good teams. While Poland is coming off a successful World Cup qualifier, Wales have just managed one win in their last 9 appearances.

With only a couple of games on the group stage, the battle for the top spot is up and kicking from the first whistle. On the whole, it will be good to see who makes the most of these opportunities.

Poland and Wales: Goal Scoring Patterns


Goals scoredGoals conceded 
First 15 minutes2 
16-30 – 
31-45 –2 


Goals scoredGoals conceded 
First 15 minutes21 
16-30  minutes1 
31-45  Minutes21 
61-75 Minutes –1 

Poland vs Wales Prediction: Top Five Players Comparison (Yellow Cards Per 90 Minutes)

Stats: 2021/2022 Season (Poland)

PlayersYellow Cards Per 90 Minutes
Tymoteusz Puchacs0.50
Karol Linnety0.40
Grzegorz Krychowiak0.30
Jacek Goralski0.37
Kamil Jozwiak0.25

Stats: 2021/2022 Season (Wales)

PlayersYellow Cards Per 90 Minutes
Kevin Moore0.75
Chris Gunter0.50
Ethan Ampadu0.50
Chris Mepham0.33
Ben Davies0.33

Poland vs Wales Prediction: Shots on goals per match (2021-2022)

Top Five Players

 Average shots on GoalGoals per match
Robert Lewandowski41.07
Aaron Ramsey1.50.50
Karol Swiderski1.20.36
Gareth Bale10.25
Piotr Zieliński0.960.21

Poland vs Wales Prediction and Betting Odds: Goalkeeper stats

 Hennessey (Wales)         Szczesny (Poland) 
Clean Sheet1 12 
Goal conceded per game1.2 0.9 
Save56% 67%   

Poland vs Wales Prediction: Team Stats ( 2021-2022)

Stats          PolandWales 
Goals per Game2.41.35 
Goals conceded per game1.21.1 
Clean sheets43 
Ball possession 48%46% 

Poland vs Wales Prediction and Betting Odds

PolandWalesPredicted Winner
BetwayOdds: 1.83Odds: 4.33Poland
FCTablesWin Probability: 53%Win Probability: 19%Poland

Poland vs Wales Prediction and Betting Odds: Recent Form

Poland has done a decent job so far with some breakthrough performances aiding them on the international scene. They finished 10th in the 2nd season but this side has looked competitive against top teams like Italy and Netherlands ensuring that they are making it to the next stage without any doubt.

The Group 4 of League A looks extremely competitive and the side is all excited to take on Netherlands, Belgium and Wales in the group stage games.

Wales didn’t have the best of results in the inaugural edition of the Nations League but a top spot in the second season meant that they were promoted to League A for the 2022 season. In addition to that, the team has a great shot at finding back their long-lost mojo.

Despite losing their way in their last few international fixtures, it is time for them to find feet as they face mighty challenges in the form of Poland, the Netherlands and Belgium.

Poland vs Wales H2H

Source: Head-to-head

Matches: 5: Poland: 4 Wales: 0 Draw: 1

Recent Meeting: Poland managed to win against Wales by a 1-0 margin on 11th Feb 2009

Poland vs Wales Prediction: Players to watch


The Polish striker Robert Lewandowski will lead the attack in the league. The Bayern Munich forward has 54 goals and 6 assists in 50 games along with 77.8% pass accuracy and is in the form of his life currently.

Sebastian Szymanski is yet to score for Poland but has 75% pass completion along with 2.8 key passes per game and 0.6 aerial duel won this season.

Piotr Zielinski has been quite silent for his national team but has 9 goals and six assists for Napoli in Serie A. It is time for him to step up against Wales.

The likes of Bale and James will lead the attack for the Wales team. Gareth Bale has so far got 3 goals and 2 assists in 13 outings as he is expected to come back after recovering from an injury. He has 2.5 shots on target per game along with 0.7 key passes and 0.5 dribbles which makes him a regular in the eleven.

Daniel James has an amazing finishing touch along with contributing by providing some key passes in the game. He has 72.9% pass success as well as 1 key pass per game and has so far scored 4 goals along with 4 assists assist in 42 games.


Kamil Glik will have to bear the responsibility of the Polish defense as he has done for so many years. Despite being a defender, he has helped the side in creating chances along with 80.3% pass success, 5 clears, 2 interceptions and 0.5 blocks per game.

The 24-year Matthew Cash will accompany him in the backline who is very strong in ball interceptions, in aerial duels and in tackling. He has won an astonishing 2.1 clears per game, has 71.9% pass success and 2.3 tackles every game in the recent past.

Jan Bednarek will have to support the other two with better tackling and less fouling in the coming games even though he has 82.7% pass success and 4.3 clears per game.

The Wales defense is like a wall consisting of Ampadu, Rodon and Davies. Ethan Ampadu is wonderful with crosses and passing but lacks discipline. He has 78% success in completing passes and does a wonderful job as a defender with 2.3 clears and 0.6 blocks per game so far.

The Spurs defender Joe Rodon is excellent in the backline with his exceptional skills in the air. He has 3.7 aerial duels won per game along with 85.3% pass success and clears 5.4 balls per game.

Ben Davies has a pass accuracy of 83.2% pass accuracy along with 1.5 aerial duels won and 1.3 tackles won per game.

Wales vs Poland Prediction and Betting Odds: Predicted Winner

According to Oddschecker, Poland is starting as the outright favourites with heavily favourable odds for the side whereas Wales have their task cut out in this clash.   

The Betway have gone on to give odds of 1.83 to the hosts whereas the visiting team have 4.33 odds meaning that the Polish side is clearly the preferred team to win the match. Another platform FCTables have also given a 53% chance for the home team whereas Wales has just 19% implying that they require a massive effort on Tuesday night to take down their opponents.

Poland vs Wales Prediction and Betting Odds

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Subhash, Founder of Crowdwisdom360 is an MBA and a Trained Financial Advisor with an extensive background in Forecasting in Financial Services and Politics. He has appeared many times on National TV and has written for a variety of magazines on Wealth Management and Election Strategy.

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