Inter vs Porto Prediction and Statistical Analysis

Inter vs Porto Prediction: Inter Milan will start as favorites to win this match as per the statistical analysis.

Inter vs Porto: Other Predictions

• Inter Milan is expected to take an early lead in the first half.
• Porto is likely to score in the second half.
• Lautaro Martinez and Edin Dzeko have the highest probability to score for Inter Milan.
• Mehdi Taremi is likely to score for Porto.

Inter vs Porto Score Prediction: Inter: 2, Porto: 1

Statistical analysis is based on historic performance. Player performance in the match may not necessarily replicate recent performances

Inter Milan is set to take on FC Porto at San Siro Stadium on Wednesday, 22nd February in the first leg of the Round of 16 in the UEFA Champions League 2022-23.

The Italian side ended their group stage in the second position of Group C. They were just behind Bayern Munich. On the other hand, the Portuguese emerged as the toppers of Group B. Both sides have been good in their respective domestic leagues this season. 

Inter vs Porto Prediction: Last 5 Games Analysis (Champions League)

Inter

• Inter has won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 home games. The overall goal aggregate stood at 7-4 in those 5 matches.
• 3 of those 5 games ended with clean sheets.
• In the current season of the Champions League, Inter won 3 and lost 2 games. 1 match ended in a draw. They scored 10 goals and conceded 7.

Porto

• Porto has won 2, lost 2, and drew 1 of the last 5 UCL matches away from home. They played with a goal aggregate of 9-5 in those 5 games.
• Porto ended 2 matches with clean sheets.
• In the Champions League 2022-23, Porto has been fantastic, winning 4 out of 6 fixtures. They have maintained a goal aggregate of 12-7 as of now.

Porto has solid winning momentum in the European Cup after winning back-to-back 4 games. But Inter Milan will enjoy the home advantage.

Inter vs Porto Goal Prediction

Inter

• Inter Milan has played with an average of 1.67 goals per game in the UCL. The average time for the first goal has been the 37th minute.
• Inter’s goal-scoring average at home is also 1.67.
• In the last 5 home matches, 4 out of 7 goals were scored in the first half.
• Inter Milan has played with a shot conversion rate of 12% till now.
• xG: Overall- 1.74, At Home- 1.73

Porto

• Porto has scored 2.00 goals per match in the current league with an average time of the first goal in the 41st minute.
• The goal-scoring rate of Porto rises to 2.67 per match in the away clashes.
• Porto has scored 6 out of 7 goals in the second half of the last 5 away matches.
• Porto’s shot conversion rate stands at 13% this season.
• xG: Overall- 1.7, At Away: 1.63

Inter vs Porto Prediction: Who is likely to score?

Inter

• Lautaro Martinez has been in excellent touch this season. He has already added 12 goals to his name in the Serie A, playing with an average of 1.4 shots on target per game. Martinez has his xG at 10.12. He converted 15% of his shots into goals.
• Edin Dzeko is another key player in the forward panel. Dzeko has scored 3 goals in the Champions League with an average of 1.2 shots on target per match. Dzeko has a goal conversion rate of 21%. He played with an xG of 2.21 so far.

Porto

• Mehdi Taremi leads the attack for Porto. Taremi has scored 11 goals in Liga Portugal 2022-23. His average number of shots on target per game is currently at 1.3. Taremi has a goal conversion rate of 19% in the Portuguese football league.
• Wenderson Galeno plays an important part in the midfield. He has scored 8 goals in Liga Portugal, playing with an average of 1.1 shots on target per match.  Galeno’s goal conversion rate is currently at 16%.

Read: Premier League Predictions 2022-23

Inter vs Porto Prediction: Defense Analysis

Inter

• Inter Milan has conceded goals with an average of 1.17 per match in the current UCL season. The average time of the first goal conceded is the 33rd minute.
• 3 out of 4 goals conceded in the last 5 home matches came in the second half.
• Inter’s goalkeeper Andre Onana has done a brilliant job so far. He saved goals with an average of 4.5 per match. The success rate stands at 79%.
• Some of the key defenders of Inter include players like Alessandro Bastoni and Federico Dimarco. Bastoni has played the current season with an average of 2.8 clearances per game. He won 57% of the aerial duels. Dimarco has maintained an average of 1.3 interceptions per match. He also has an average of 1.8 key passes per game.

Porto

• Porto has conceded 1.17 goals per game in the European Cup, with the average time of conceding the first goal in the 65th minute.
• All the 5 goals conceded by Porto in the last 5 away games came in the second half.
• Diogo Costo has been good in the Champions League as of now. He saved 3.8 goals per match with a success rate of 77%.
• Fabio Cardoso and Zaidu Sanusi are the leading defenders for the Italian club. Cardoso has played 3 games with an average of 3.7 clearances per match with 85% success in the ground duels. Sanusi has an average of 1.8 clearances per match, 52.5% of the ground duels.

Inter vs Porto Prediction: H2H Statistics

Matches: 4 | Inter: 2 | Draw: 1 | Porto: 1

Last Meeting: Inter Milan defeated Porto with a score of 2-1 on 2 November 2005.

H2H Key Highlights

• Inter scored 1.50 goals per match. They failed to end any one of the games with a clean sheet.
• Porto scored 1.25 goals per match. They had 1 clean sheet.

Inter vs Porto Prediction: Final Insight

• Porto is ahead on momentum.
• Inter has the home advantage.
• Porto is slightly ahead in the offense.
• Inter has an edge in the defense
• Overall: Inter to win

It will not be so easy for Inter Milan looking at the performance of Porto in the Champions League. However, they will surely start as the home favorites to win this contest. Porto will look to capitalize on the momentum and give a tough fight to the hosts. We believe Inter can win this fixture 2-1.